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Red167
353640.7
317539.3
24553.1
Blue98
50344.3
749130.7
824314.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489205020025030035016798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
53.12.4
56.358.7
Auto16.3
Teleop27.7
End7.6
red by 8.8
503
#19
44.30.0
45.545.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Second
3536
#12
40.72.4
38.440.8
Auto12.8
Teleop21.2
End6.5
red by 10.0
7491
#28
30.70.0
29.329.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End9.1
Third
39.32.4
36.739.0
Auto15.6
Teleop16.7
End7.7
red by 25.1
8243
#38
14.20.0
18.018.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned