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Red76
353842.4
413043.2
561221.4
Blue115
543637.2
353439.8
370729.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171122040608010014016018076115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#32
43.22.2
41.639.5
Auto11.1
Teleop22.8
End9.0
red by 3.3
3534
#15
39.80.7
41.241.8
Auto14.1
Teleop20.0
End6.4
Second
3538
#12
42.42.2
40.738.6
Auto10.7
Teleop25.0
End7.0
red by 5.2
5436
#24
37.20.7
38.238.9
Auto9.3
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Third
5612
#35
21.42.2
26.023.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.4
End7.5
blue by 8.2
3707
#25
29.60.7
25.826.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned