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Red122
817931.7
364145.9
213736.6
Blue103
353943.6
6761.6
283435.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114164050100150200250122103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#19
45.90.6
45.446.0
Auto10.9
Teleop26.4
End7.6
blue by 15.7
67
#6
61.62.9
66.763.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.8
End7.7
Second
2137
#11
36.60.6
32.633.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End7.9
blue by 7.0
3539
#20
43.62.9
47.544.6
Auto8.1
Teleop26.3
End7.4
Third
8179
#23
31.70.6
34.535.1
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End5.3
blue by 4.0
2834
#28
35.72.9
36.633.7
Auto13.9
Teleop15.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed