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Red132
283435.7
436253.2
584331.1
Blue137
6761.6
353842.4
214526.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118138050100200250132137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#13
53.20.8
53.254.0
Auto14.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
blue by 8.4
67
#6
61.60.6
61.261.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.8
End7.7
Second
2834
#28
35.70.8
33.334.2
Auto13.9
Teleop15.5
End6.7
blue by 6.7
3538
#12
42.40.6
40.240.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.0
End7.0
Third
5843
#29
31.10.8
28.129.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End6.8
red by 4.5
2145
#21
26.60.6
26.026.6
Auto11.8
Teleop8.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed