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Red132
214526.6
566043.4
353439.8
Blue73
353943.6
499819.1
543637.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012905015020025013273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#10
43.41.4
43.745.1
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End7.4
blue by 0.2
3539
#20
43.63.0
50.547.5
Auto8.1
Teleop26.3
End7.4
Second
3534
#15
39.81.4
39.841.2
Auto14.1
Teleop20.0
End6.4
red by 2.6
5436
#24
37.23.0
41.338.2
Auto9.3
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Third
2145
#21
26.61.4
22.624.0
Auto11.8
Teleop8.0
End7.0
red by 7.5
4998
#36
19.13.0
27.224.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed