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Red150
721147.0
283435.7
353842.4
Blue188
546060.5
150663.1
584331.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126170050100150200250300150188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.5
46.547.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.4
End9.0
blue by 16.1
63.10.6
62.963.5
Auto14.1
Teleop37.1
End10.7
Second
3538
#12
42.40.5
41.942.4
Auto10.7
Teleop25.0
End7.0
blue by 18.2
60.50.6
60.461.0
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End9.4
Third
2834
#28
35.70.5
35.235.7
Auto13.9
Teleop15.5
End6.7
red by 4.6
5843
#29
31.10.6
31.031.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End6.8