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Red131
701823.5
192362.7
412239.3
Blue91
248930.2
589563.6
900725.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13213605010020025030035040013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#17
62.70.4
63.463.8
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
blue by 0.8
5895
#12
63.62.8
66.563.7
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
Second
4122
#55
39.30.4
39.039.4
Auto10.7
Teleop19.8
End8.4
red by 9.2
2489
#54
30.22.8
31.328.5
Auto5.0
Teleop19.1
End6.5
Third
7018
#72
23.50.4
21.922.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
blue by 2.0
9007
#71
25.62.8
29.726.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed