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Red148
902233.6
239952.0
635232.4
Blue134
91046.7
565334.1
912541.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12113050100150200148134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#14
52.01.1
52.053.1
Auto15.0
Teleop27.3
End8.9
red by 5.3
910
#20
46.70.8
44.745.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.9
End7.9
Second
9022
#73
33.61.1
32.333.4
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End4.0
blue by 7.5
9125
#22
41.10.8
41.942.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End8.3
Third
6352
#49
32.41.1
30.731.8
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
blue by 1.7
5653
#63
34.10.8
34.635.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned