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Qual 1122023 Milstein Division
Red170
477946.9
367942.3
368361.3
Blue150
561830.8
46953.8
541946.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161129050100200250170150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#34
61.31.5
61.8→63.3
Auto13.3
Teleop39.8
End6.7
red by 7.5
469
#7
53.81.3
50.7→52.0
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
Second
4779
#56
46.91.5
44.6→46.1
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
red by 0.8
5419
#43
46.11.3
45.3→46.7
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Third
3679
#51
42.31.5
41.6→43.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.0
End10.0
red by 11.4
5618
#74
30.81.3
29.2→30.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned