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Red154
393762.4
667264.8
541152.8
Blue121
402052.5
107240.0
240339.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197134100150250154121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#24
64.81.9
66.364.4
Auto11.8
Teleop42.0
End8.6
red by 12.2
4020
#37
52.50.9
52.952.1
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Second
62.41.9
62.760.8
Auto15.7
Teleop38.7
End7.2
red by 22.4
1072
#40
40.00.9
40.239.3
Auto11.8
Teleop21.2
End7.1
Third
5411
#21
52.81.9
54.752.8
Auto12.6
Teleop30.9
End8.2
red by 12.8
2403
#66
39.90.9
40.839.9
Auto12.6
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsMissed