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Qual 1282023 Milstein Division
Red121
686529.6
17668.3
223048.3
Blue172
402052.5
403963.4
174555.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156179100200250121172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.32.2
70.2→68.0
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 4.9
4039
#18
63.40.5
63.2→63.7
Auto15.3
Teleop36.6
End9.2
Second
2230
#39
48.32.2
49.3→47.1
Auto12.5
Teleop27.4
End7.5
blue by 7.2
1745
#23
55.50.5
55.0→55.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End8.6
Third
6865
#62
29.62.2
31.8→29.6
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 23.0
4020
#37
52.50.5
52.1→52.5
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned