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Red141
367942.3
402052.5
265630.1
Blue108
469326.3
198343.5
91046.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134111050100150200250141108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#37
52.51.2
53.754.9
Auto15.1
Teleop29.8
End6.6
red by 5.8
910
#20
46.70.0
44.644.7
Auto12.3
Teleop24.9
End7.9
Second
3679
#51
42.31.2
37.538.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.0
End10.0
blue by 1.2
1983
#32
43.50.0
44.144.1
Auto13.2
Teleop23.0
End7.4
Third
2656
#58
30.11.2
32.133.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End8.5
red by 3.8
4693
#69
26.30.0
18.718.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned