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Qual 432023 Milstein Division
Red110
477946.9
124156.8
907619.9
Blue163
224053.8
192362.7
642043.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121164050100150200250110163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#47
56.80.6
56.3→55.7
Auto13.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
blue by 5.9
1923
#17
62.71.0
58.6→59.6
Auto13.2
Teleop39.6
End10.1
Second
4779
#56
46.90.6
43.5→42.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End6.0
blue by 6.9
2240
#36
53.81.0
50.2→51.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End10.0
Third
9076
#65
19.90.6
19.0→18.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 23.4
6420
#26
43.31.0
39.5→40.5
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed98%Activation oddsEarned