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Qual 472023 Milstein Division
Red167
58755.3
60462.7
686529.6
Blue99
598819.4
265630.1
541152.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431055020025016799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#19
62.72.2
57.9→60.0
Auto13.5
Teleop38.3
End10.0
red by 9.9
5411
#21
52.80.3
52.8→52.4
Auto12.6
Teleop30.9
End8.2
Second
587
#8
55.32.2
48.9→51.0
Auto16.1
Teleop32.0
End6.2
red by 25.2
2656
#58
30.10.3
33.3→32.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End8.5
Third
6865
#62
29.62.2
23.5→25.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 10.2
5988
#76
19.40.3
17.6→17.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned