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Qual 492023 Milstein Division
Red155
46953.8
91046.7
609063.1
Blue146
198343.5
589563.6
360449.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175158120140200220240155146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#28
63.12.1
66.7→64.6
Auto16.6
Teleop34.3
End10.3
blue by 0.4
5895
#12
63.60.3
64.2→63.9
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
Second
469
#7
53.82.1
55.8→53.6
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End8.7
red by 4.2
3604
#5
49.60.3
44.2→43.9
Auto14.5
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
910
#20
46.72.1
44.7→42.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.9
End7.9
red by 3.2
1983
#32
43.50.3
44.1→43.8
Auto13.2
Teleop23.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsMissed95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned