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Red184
368361.3
403963.4
13544.2
Blue159
69460.9
924417.7
589563.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176147100200250184159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#18
63.41.2
61.062.2
Auto15.3
Teleop36.6
End9.2
blue by 0.2
5895
#12
63.61.2
65.366.5
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
Second
3683
#34
61.31.2
60.661.8
Auto13.3
Teleop39.8
End6.7
red by 0.4
694
#25
60.91.2
61.162.3
Auto14.8
Teleop36.1
End9.1
Third
135
#46
44.21.2
45.246.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End7.3
red by 26.6
9244
#77
17.71.2
15.917.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned