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Qual 742023 Milstein Division
Red148
541946.1
469326.3
337438.2
Blue107
565334.1
598819.4
159948.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021058090110120130140148107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#43
46.13.4
44.1→47.6
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End7.0
blue by 2.8
1599
#15
48.90.1
47.6→47.5
Auto13.6
Teleop25.1
End9.0
Second
3374
#52
38.23.4
32.9→36.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End7.0
red by 4.1
5653
#63
34.10.1
33.1→33.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Third
4693
#69
26.33.4
19.3→22.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End4.1
red by 6.9
5988
#76
19.40.1
17.4→17.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned