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Red170
337438.2
168356.6
17668.3
Blue147
150658.5
367942.3
502449.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167150100200250170147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
68.31.0
69.670.7
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 9.8
1506
#31
58.50.3
56.656.8
Auto14.5
Teleop33.7
End8.5
Second
1683
#10
56.61.0
54.355.4
Auto16.8
Teleop29.4
End9.1
red by 6.7
5024
#67
49.90.3
46.947.2
Auto14.0
Teleop28.0
End8.1
Third
3374
#52
38.21.0
36.437.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End7.0
blue by 4.1
3679
#51
42.30.3
39.439.6
Auto11.4
Teleop21.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned