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Qual 972023 Milstein Division
Red176
589563.6
297462.1
642043.3
Blue173
362056.7
17668.3
240339.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17117650100150200250300176173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#12
63.60.3
65.0→65.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End7.4
blue by 4.8
176
#16
68.30.5
70.7→71.2
Auto17.0
Teleop40.3
End8.5
Second
2974
#44
62.10.3
60.7→61.0
Auto15.8
Teleop37.4
End6.9
red by 5.4
3620
#59
56.70.5
57.8→58.4
Auto12.9
Teleop34.5
End7.4
Third
6420
#26
43.30.3
41.3→41.6
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End8.3
red by 3.4
2403
#66
39.90.5
40.0→40.5
Auto12.6
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned