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Red142
276761.4
555917.4
438159.5
Blue140
607846.3
600250.0
720319.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211750100200142140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.1
61.361.4
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
red by 11.4
50.00.5
49.550.0
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
Second
59.50.1
59.559.5
Auto16.4
Teleop34.1
End8.9
red by 13.3
46.30.5
45.846.3
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
Third
5559
#35
17.40.1
17.317.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 1.9
7203
#39
19.30.5
18.819.3
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2