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Red69
570413.9
927824.3
432536.4
Blue81
518225.5
765622.1
525623.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615502040801006981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#22
36.40.9
30.831.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 10.9
5182
#29
25.51.9
18.820.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End4.8
Second
9278
#14
24.30.9
16.617.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End8.0
red by 0.9
5256
#17
23.41.9
17.919.8
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End6.0
Third
5704
#33
13.90.9
8.79.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
blue by 8.2
7656
#24
22.12.1
15.617.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed