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Red37
918312.9
518225.5
917720.5
Blue70
777217.6
553531.9
432536.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65634050607080903770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5182
#29
25.51.4
20.218.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End4.8
blue by 10.9
4325
#22
36.40.3
30.530.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
9177
#36
20.51.4
24.623.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.5
End5.6
blue by 11.4
5535
#10
31.90.3
21.521.8
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.1
Third
9183
#40
12.91.6
13.912.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
blue by 4.6
7772
#20
17.60.3
9.39.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed