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Red86
495630.5
50347.5
725417.8
Blue121
600250.0
421634.1
438424.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010605015020025086121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#7
47.50.0
43.243.2
Auto15.3
Teleop21.7
End10.4
blue by 2.5
50.00.9
44.545.4
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
Second
4956
#13
30.50.0
27.627.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.0
End8.2
blue by 3.6
4216
#11
34.10.9
29.530.4
Auto13.9
Teleop11.7
End8.5
Third
7254
#30
17.80.0
15.315.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End6.7
blue by 6.5
4384
#31
24.31.6
23.024.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned