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Red103
438159.5
438424.3
345226.1
Blue122
607846.3
605722.1
600250.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111250150200103122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.5
52.953.3
Auto16.4
Teleop34.1
End8.9
red by 9.6
50.01.2
45.446.6
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
Second
3452
#18
26.10.5
18.819.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.3
End8.0
blue by 20.2
46.31.2
36.437.6
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
Third
4384
#31
24.30.8
24.625.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.8
red by 2.2
6057
#26
22.12.0
22.024.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed