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Red100
362046.0
771321.1
495630.5
Blue98
725417.8
387529.9
781126.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9656020408012014016010098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.01.0
41.542.5
Auto13.5
Teleop26.0
End6.4
red by 16.0
3875
#12
29.92.4
21.624.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End6.0
Second
4956
#13
30.51.0
27.628.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.0
End8.2
red by 4.5
7811
#15
26.02.4
20.422.7
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End8.4
Third
7713
#16
21.11.0
16.017.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End5.6
red by 3.3
7254
#30
17.82.4
15.317.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned