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Red52
525623.4
720319.3
605722.1
Blue111
553531.9
584330.3
345226.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687340608010012052111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#17
23.41.9
20.118.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End6.0
blue by 8.5
5535
#10
31.91.9
23.024.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.1
Second
6057
#26
22.13.2
24.120.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End4.7
blue by 8.2
5843
#19
30.31.9
25.527.4
Auto11.4
Teleop11.6
End7.2
Third
7203
#39
19.31.9
20.018.1
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2
blue by 6.7
3452
#18
26.11.9
19.221.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned