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Red100
553531.9
194025.9
518225.5
Blue92
570413.9
214523.6
50347.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70725060809010010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#10
31.92.3
24.927.2
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.1
blue by 15.6
503
#7
47.51.6
44.446.1
Auto15.3
Teleop21.7
End10.4
Second
25.92.3
20.722.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End7.4
red by 2.2
2145
#23
23.61.6
14.916.5
Auto9.6
Teleop7.0
End7.0
Third
5182
#29
25.52.3
20.622.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End4.8
red by 11.5
5704
#33
13.91.6
8.09.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned