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Red78
883217.3
387529.9
780917.2
Blue41
725417.8
922316.8
918312.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544502060801001207841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#12
29.91.6
25.126.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End6.0
red by 12.2
7254
#30
17.80.5
15.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Second
8832
#21
17.32.6
12.715.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.7
red by 0.5
9223
#37
16.80.5
16.716.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End6.5
Third
7809
#25
17.21.6
11.513.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.4
red by 4.3
9183
#40
12.90.5
11.511.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed