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Red100
555917.4
525623.4
50347.5
Blue46
720319.3
918312.9
438424.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8652020406010012014010046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#7
47.51.2
46.347.5
Auto15.3
Teleop21.7
End10.4
red by 23.2
4384
#31
24.30.7
23.723.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Second
5256
#17
23.41.2
16.818.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End6.0
red by 4.1
7203
#39
19.30.5
18.217.8
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2
Third
5559
#35
17.41.2
13.314.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End5.1
red by 4.4
9183
#40
12.90.5
11.010.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed