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Red127
276761.4
387529.9
526317.0
Blue63
781413.3
518225.5
432733.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110695010015012763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.42.0
56.658.5
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
red by 27.5
33.90.4
32.331.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.0
End7.7
Second
3875
#12
29.92.0
26.728.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End6.0
red by 4.5
5182
#29
25.50.4
23.022.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End4.8
Third
5263
#32
17.02.0
14.316.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 3.8
7814
#27
13.30.4
14.313.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed