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Red113
421634.1
438159.5
720319.3
Blue106
276761.4
777217.6
518225.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114100050150200250113106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.5
56.056.5
Auto16.4
Teleop34.1
End8.9
blue by 1.8
61.40.7
58.559.2
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
Second
4216
#11
34.10.5
31.331.8
Auto13.9
Teleop11.7
End8.5
red by 8.6
5182
#29
25.50.7
22.523.2
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End4.8
Third
7203
#39
19.30.5
17.818.3
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End7.2
red by 1.7
7772
#20
17.60.7
14.815.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned