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Red113
214523.6
607846.3
525623.4
Blue106
785517.8
725417.8
276761.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86984060120140160113106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.32.0
42.144.1
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
blue by 15.1
61.40.7
59.259.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
Second
2145
#23
23.62.0
20.722.8
Auto9.6
Teleop7.0
End7.0
red by 5.8
7855
#28
17.80.7
16.016.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Third
5256
#17
23.42.0
19.621.7
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End6.0
red by 5.7
7254
#30
17.80.7
15.015.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned