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Red112
525623.4
387529.9
432733.9
Blue82
607846.3
852218.8
765622.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91902040608010012014016011282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.5
33.935.3
Auto11.3
Teleop15.0
End7.7
blue by 12.4
46.30.2
44.144.0
Auto10.2
Teleop29.7
End6.4
Second
3875
#12
29.91.5
29.731.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End6.0
red by 7.8
7656
#24
22.10.2
21.721.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Third
5256
#17
23.41.5
21.723.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End6.0
red by 4.6
8522
#38
18.80.2
18.918.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed