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Red94
432733.9
600250.0
526317.0
Blue115
927824.3
194025.9
442247.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119740608012014016018094115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.5
49.148.6
Auto15.1
Teleop26.3
End8.5
red by 2.6
47.41.5
46.948.3
Auto13.9
Teleop24.6
End8.9
Second
33.90.5
35.334.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.0
End7.7
red by 8.1
25.91.5
23.224.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End7.4
Third
5263
#32
17.00.5
17.617.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 7.3
9278
#14
24.31.5
22.924.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned