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Red171
276761.4
555917.4
438159.5
Blue97
438424.3
495630.5
518225.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154735010020017197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.7
60.060.7
Auto16.4
Teleop34.6
End10.3
red by 30.8
4956
#13
30.50.3
29.930.2
Auto10.4
Teleop12.0
End8.2
Second
59.50.7
58.158.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.1
End8.9
red by 34.1
5182
#29
25.50.3
24.825.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End4.8
Third
5559
#35
17.40.7
16.016.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 6.9
4384
#31
24.30.3
23.724.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.8