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Red74
506718.7
21624.6
917724.6
Blue71
921522.5
600246.6
725623.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5584020401001201401607471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
24.60.9
19.820.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End4.7
blue by 22.0
6002
#11
46.60.3
47.547.2
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Second
9177
#25DQ
24.62.3
20.518.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End7.5
red by 1.5
7256
#18
23.10.3
10.810.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End6.6
Third
5067
#32
18.71.5
19.120.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End5.9
blue by 3.8
9215
#29
22.511.5
27.816.3
Auto8.5
Teleop8.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed