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Red135
860839.9
168443.3
931249.2
Blue115
719739.1
330221.2
567638.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098950100150200135115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.22.0
33.535.5
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 10.2
39.11.9
30.532.4
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Second
43.32.0
43.045.0
Auto11.3
Teleop21.8
End10.2
red by 4.5
5676
#13
38.81.9
36.638.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End7.5
Third
39.93.3
23.626.9
Auto14.5
Teleop18.5
End6.9
red by 18.6
3302
#20
21.23.2
19.022.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned