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Red55
619012.6
432723.9
923814.8
Blue95
600246.6
445328.2
927816.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610501505595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#36
23.90.2
27.327.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End6.0
blue by 22.7
6002
#11
46.60.2
46.546.7
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Second
9238
#35
14.80.4
16.416.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End6.0
blue by 13.4
28.20.2
26.827.0
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
6190
#38
12.60.4
15.014.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End6.4
blue by 4.0
9278
#37
16.50.3
19.119.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned