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Red50
722623.2
432723.9
21624.6
Blue102
261142.8
619012.6
719739.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7691406010012014050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
24.61.5
22.921.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End4.7
blue by 18.2
42.80.6
36.036.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Second
4327
#36
23.91.5
27.025.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End6.0
blue by 15.2
39.10.6
32.433.0
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
7226
#19
23.21.5
22.821.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End5.5
red by 10.6
6190
#38
12.61.0
14.615.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned