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Red116
515246.7
719739.1
150426.6
Blue100
481023.7
523522.0
600246.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109936080100120140160180116100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.71.1
42.443.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
red by 0.1
6002
#11
46.60.3
47.246.9
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End6.7
Second
39.11.1
33.034.1
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 15.3
4810
#30
23.70.5
22.021.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9
Third
1504
#28
26.61.8
24.526.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End7.9
red by 4.6
5235
#23
22.00.3
20.320.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned