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Red73
525617.8
781120.1
719739.1
Blue101
920835.5
860839.9
567638.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6489020408010012014073101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.6
28.228.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
blue by 0.8
39.92.3
18.220.4
Auto14.5
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
7811
#31
20.11.0
16.817.9
Auto6.9
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 18.7
5676
#13
38.81.4
33.434.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End7.5
Third
5256
#33
17.81.0
18.519.6
Auto1.5
Teleop10.1
End6.2
blue by 17.7
9208
#17
35.51.4
29.030.4
Auto10.5
Teleop17.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed