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Red131
261142.8
21624.6
499827.4
Blue36
28820.0
923814.8
8308.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10340020608012014016013136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.82.5
41.844.2
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
red by 22.8
288
#24
20.00.6
19.518.9
Auto9.2
Teleop5.7
End5.1
Second
4998
#14
27.42.5
25.928.4
Auto9.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
red by 12.6
9238
#35
14.80.8
16.715.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End6.0
Third
216
#12
24.62.5
21.223.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End4.7
red by 16.1
830
#39
8.50.6
9.28.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed