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Red136
261142.8
445328.2
515246.7
Blue65
506718.7
923814.8
781120.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12843010015020013665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.71.8
42.043.7
Auto11.9
Teleop24.7
End10.0
red by 26.6
7811
#31
20.11.4
17.719.1
Auto6.9
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Second
42.81.8
39.441.2
Auto13.3
Teleop23.6
End6.0
red by 24.1
5067
#32
18.71.4
18.019.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End5.9
Third
28.21.8
28.229.9
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 13.4
9238
#35
14.81.5
15.316.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed