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Red65
481023.7
658817.4
24427.8
Blue84
619012.6
499827.4
168443.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67880204060801001201401606584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#15
27.80.4
25.825.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End7.5
blue by 15.5
43.30.3
42.542.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.8
End10.2
Second
4810
#30
23.70.6
20.019.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9
blue by 3.7
4998
#14
27.40.3
22.522.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.5
End5.4
Third
6588
#26
17.40.4
19.919.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End6.3
red by 4.9
6190
#38
12.60.4
15.215.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned