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Red101
749129.3
550122.2
24427.8
Blue115
920835.5
567546.8
432723.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76110204060100120140160101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7491
#16
29.31.4
28.629.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.1
blue by 17.5
46.81.1
43.244.3
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Second
244
#15
27.81.4
26.628.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End7.5
blue by 7.7
9208
#17
35.51.1
33.434.5
Auto10.5
Teleop17.3
End7.6
Third
5501
#22
22.21.4
20.221.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End8.8
blue by 1.7
4327
#36
23.91.1
21.822.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned