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Red140
445328.2
567638.8
931249.2
Blue43
8308.5
917724.6
432723.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9854015020014043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.22.9
28.831.8
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 24.6
9177
#25
24.61.5
18.216.7
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End7.5
Second
5676
#13
38.82.9
34.737.6
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End7.5
red by 14.9
4327
#36
23.90.9
28.827.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Third
28.22.9
22.625.6
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 19.7
830
#39
8.50.9
9.48.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed