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Red140
481023.7
931249.2
567546.8
Blue89
567638.8
24427.8
28820.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12691608010014016018020014089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.6
47.347.8
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 10.4
5676
#13
38.80.0
39.939.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End7.5
Second
46.80.6
44.845.4
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 19.0
244
#15
27.80.0
28.928.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End7.5
Third
4810
#30
23.70.6
21.722.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 3.7
288
#24
20.00.0
21.121.1
Auto9.2
Teleop5.7
End5.1