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Red106
719739.1
860839.9
150426.6
Blue129
920835.5
922733.6
21624.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11397406080120140160180106129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.0
39.339.4
Auto14.5
Teleop18.5
End6.9
red by 4.4
9208
#17
35.50.7
35.336.0
Auto10.5
Teleop17.3
End7.6
Second
39.10.0
38.538.6
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 5.5
9227
#10
33.60.7
33.434.1
Auto13.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
Third
1504
#28
26.60.0
26.126.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End7.9
red by 2.0
216
#12
24.60.7
24.525.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End4.7