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Red127
481023.7
931249.2
567546.8
Blue112
150426.6
860839.9
719739.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611080100120140160180127112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.1
48.148.2
Auto13.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 9.4
39.90.2
39.739.9
Auto14.5
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
46.80.1
45.645.7
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
red by 7.7
39.10.2
38.939.1
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
4810
#30
23.70.1
22.522.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End5.9
blue by 2.9
1504
#28
26.60.2
26.526.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End7.9