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Red50
365537.2
37738.8
837415.5
Blue102
528217.9
920311.2
590729.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577020408010012050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#11
37.21.1
26.625.5
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 7.6
29.62.6
29.131.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End1.4
Second
8374
#23
15.51.1
13.812.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End5.9
blue by 2.4
5282
#28
17.91.6
18.920.4
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End4.8
Third
3773
#31
8.81.1
14.813.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 2.4
9203
#34
11.22.6
15.818.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsEarned